Polymarket shows 31% probability that SpaceX (SPCX) beats earnings expectations

According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket "Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat earnings expectations?" prediction market, the probability of "Yes" is currently 31%.

Based on the settlement rules, if SpaceX reports a GAAP EPS higher than -$0.29 in its quarterly earnings, the market settles as "Yes"; otherwise, it settles as "No." If SpaceX does not disclose GAAP EPS, the settlement will be based on the GAAP EPS data published by Seeking Alpha.

SpaceX is set to release its first financial report since going public after the US market closes on Tuesday. Since its first trading day in June, SpaceX's stock price has continued to retreat, and as of Monday's close, the stock has fallen approximately 15% from its IPO price of $135, with the company's market capitalization shrinking by more than $500 billion.

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