Polymarket odds of “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” beating “Avengers: Endgame” in North American opening weekend box office rise to 91%, up 22% in 24 hours

According to monitoring by PPP Prediction Market Tools, the probability on Polymarket that “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” will beat “Avengers: Endgame” in North American opening weekend box office has risen to 91%, up 22% in 24 hours.

The market rules state: if the North American opening weekend box office revenue of “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” exceeds the opening weekend revenue of “Avengers: Endgame” at $357,115,007, the market outcome will be “Yes”; otherwise, the outcome will be “No.” This market will be determined based on weekend box office performance data provided by The Numbers website. If no final data is available by 11:59 PM ET on August 9, 2026, another reliable source for determining data will be selected.

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