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牛津经济研究院:通胀风险加剧,9月加息可能性增大

2026-07-31 12:46

Odaily News, Oxford Economics analyst Iain Simmons stated that inflation in the eurozone remains above target and faces significant risks ahead. Due to rising energy prices driven by heightened tensions in the Middle East, the overall inflation rate rose by 0.1 percentage points to 2.9% in July. He noted that since the collapse of the ceasefire agreement with Iran, the risk of broader inflationary impacts has increased substantially, strengthening the case for a rate hike in September. Nevertheless, inflation data shows a relatively moderate response to the heightened tensions in the Middle East, and the potential for second-round wage effects later this year may be limited. (Jin Shi)