Greeks.live: 149,000 BTC options, with a notional value of $9.6 billion, expire today

Odaily News Adam@Greeks.live posted on the X platform that the options settlement data for July 31 shows that 149,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.28, the max pain point at $64,000, and a notional value of $9.6 billion; 435,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.63, the max pain point at $1,850, and a notional value of $830 million. Bitcoin fluctuated around $64,000 this week. As mentioned last week, the price range above $65,000 is a high-volume area formed during the early-year rally, and there is some resistance there.

The U.S. stock market was quite volatile this week, but when U.S. stocks fell, funds did not flow into the crypto market, and the rebound did not drive the crypto market up either. Currently, capital inflows into crypto are limited, with trading volumes of some crypto-related U.S. stock products even surpassing many crypto assets, so conditions for an upward move are not in place. Looking at the main options data, 30% of options expired this week. On the call side, Gex is relatively dispersed, while on the put side, Gex is relatively concentrated. This month, BTC's PCR is only 0.26, with extremely low put open interest, while Ethereum's put open interest has remained relatively high.

Overall IV has remained at a relatively low level for a quarter now. In Q3, we can observe rebounds when capital inflows occur. Crypto has been in an 8-month bear market, and trading attention in U.S. stocks has taken the lead. In the short term, some options can be sold, with the main trading focus placed on U.S. stocks.