A wallet with a 78% win rate purchased $139,000 on the outcome that the Fed keeps rates unchanged in July

According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in Polymarket's "Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged at the July 2026 meeting?" prediction event, a wallet (0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd1409) with a 78% win rate purchased $139,000 worth of "Yes" shares, with an average opening price of 75.5¢, buying 175,165.2 shares.

The Federal Reserve will announce its July interest rate decision in the early hours of July 30 Beijing time. According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the market currently estimates the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged at this meeting at 66.3%, with a 33.7% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike. As of now, the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged on this prediction market stands at 80%, a decline of 13% over the past week.

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