Polymarket probability of "SpaceX Starship to conduct 13th test flight on July 24" rises to 77%, up 16% in 24 hours

Monitoring from the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "SpaceX Starship's 13th test flight on July 24" has risen to 77%, up 16% in 24 hours; the probability for a test flight on July 25 has risen to 83%, up 35% in 24 hours.

SpaceX previously announced that the 13th test flight of the Starship was postponed to July 24 due to weather conditions, but it remains uncertain whether weather issues still persist. SpaceX made its first attempt at the Starship's 13th test flight on July 17, but the automatic launch abort sequence was triggered as some Raptor engines failed to start as expected, resulting in the failure of the initial attempt. It is reported that SpaceX is currently "going all-in" on Starship and has already begun declining commercial Falcon rocket launch orders for periods after 2028.

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