Polymarket: "Next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026" probability currently at 61%, up 51% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026" is currently at 61%, up 51% in 24 hours; additionally, the probability of "release before July 24" is at 9%; the probability of "release before July 25" is at 5%;

This event will be settled based on the date (Eastern Time) when Anthropic's next Claude Opus model becomes available to the public. Only models explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic are valid, and they must be accessible to the public (including public beta testing or open waitlist). Other models such as Sonnet and Haiku are not counted. The final settlement will primarily rely on official Anthropic information.

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