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The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 88.8%

2026-07-15 23:06
Citing CME's "FedWatch" data, Odaily reports that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate in July is 88.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 11.2%. For September, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged is 51.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 44%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 4.7%.