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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 74.3%

2026-07-06 23:02

Odaily Odaily Planet Daily reports that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 25.7%. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged by September is 42.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 46.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 10.8%.