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Polymarket New Market: "Will the U.S. Congress Pass an Iran War Powers Resolution Before June 30?"

2026-06-01 12:31

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring indicates a new prediction event on Polymarket: "Will the U.S. House and Senate pass the same resolution by June 30, 2026, aimed at limiting U.S. military action against Iran in recent conflicts?"

Since the escalation of U.S. military operations against Iran at the end of February this year, the power struggle between the two parties in Congress over the 1973 War Powers Resolution has experienced multiple failures. Although the Senate advanced a related procedural vote in mid-May, and the House also briefly formed a cross-party majority, the House Republican leadership, on the eve of the recess on May 21, cited "absentee members and insufficient votes" to urgently withdraw and postpone the full floor vote. With lawmakers returning to Washington after the Memorial Day recess in early June, the time window for the two chambers to unify the amendment text and complete final passage is extremely compressed. Coupled with the White House's tough stance, potentially using a veto, the market leans toward the view that the two chambers will not reach a substantial binding resolution before the June 30 deadline.

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.