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Billionaire Dan Loeb Dismisses AI Bubble Theory: AI Is Just Getting Started, Massive Capital Expenditure Will Pay Off

2026-05-30 13:56

Odaily Planet Daily News: Billionaire investor and founder of hedge fund Third Point, Dan Loeb, stated in a podcast that current market concerns over an AI "bubble" are greatly exaggerated, and the development phase of the AI industry is completely different from the dot-com bubble era.

Loeb pointed out that the combined capital expenditures of tech giants including Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta have already exceeded $700 billion this year, and could reach $1 trillion next year, with the vast majority allocated to AI infrastructure construction. He indicated that not believing these capital expenditures can yield returns is equivalent to believing these companies are "burning cash for nothing," but currently these companies have strong profitability and ample cash flow, allowing them to rely on their own balance sheets to support investments.

Loeb emphasized that this is different from the dot-com bubble period when "valuations were detached from fundamentals," and does not constitute a traditional valuation bubble. He also noted that AI companies like Anthropic are experiencing rapid revenue growth and accelerating product deployment, indicating the industry is still in its early expansion phase.

According to reports, Anthropic's latest funding round valuation has approached nearly $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging from $14 billion to $47 billion, further strengthening market confidence in the commercialization potential of AI.

However, some investors in the market, including Michael Burry, have expressed concerns about AI valuations overheating, believing that massive investments may struggle to generate corresponding returns. Loeb stated, "We haven't even scratched the surface of AI development," and believes it remains in the early stages of long-term growth. (BusinessInsider)