Analysis: Potential US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement Lifts Risk Assets, but BTC Continues Its Weak Decoupling Trend

Odaily Odaily讯 Despite reports of a draft memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran on a 60-day ceasefire and nuclear program discussions, the cryptocurrency market remains under pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $73,000, down about 2.7% in 24 hours. US stock and bond markets were boosted, with the Nasdaq rising 0.6% and WTI crude oil prices falling below $90 per barrel.

On the macro level, the first inflation report under new Fed Chair Warsh showed that the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose 3.8% year-over-year in April, the highest level in nearly three years, up from 2.8% in February. Olu Sonola, Head of US Economics at Fitch Ratings, stated that inflationary pressures could persist in the coming months, making it difficult for the Fed to ignore this supply shock driving underlying inflation.

Market analysis points out that in the short term, positive macro factors have significantly boosted stock markets and oil prices, but the crypto market lacks similar direct stimulus, and Bitcoin and other digital assets continue to face selling pressure. (CoinDesk)