Polymarket probability of “WTI crude oil to hit $105 by May 2026” rises to 66%, up 12% in 24 hours

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "WTI crude oil to hit $105 by May 2026" has risen to 66%, up 12% in 24 hours.

The event contract rules stipulate: If the "high" price of any 1-minute candlestick for the active month of WTI crude oil futures during May 2026 equals or exceeds the listed price, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No." Prices will follow those published by Pyth, without rounding. Previously, the rules for the WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: If the official settlement price of the current active month (front month) of Chicago Mercantile Exchange crude oil futures contracts on any trading day equals or exceeds the listed price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No."

It is reported that Saudi Aramco is making all-out efforts to boost export volumes from the country's western refineries. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser has stated that the company's maximum crude oil production capacity of 12 million barrels per day remains intact and ready for use at any time.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before pricing occurs.