viewpoint: Bitcoin may reclaim all-time highs within the next 12 months, with central bank reserve trends driving its globalization

Odaily Odaily reports that Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, stated he expects Bitcoin to revisit its all-time high within the next 12 months. This is because the current correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq index is near a five-year high, and the resilience of the US stock market provides support for this rebound. However, the derivatives market has not yet shown significant optimism; futures and options trading largely reflects short covering and hedging demand. From a contrarian perspective, this suggests the Bitcoin rally may still have room to continue.

Matthew Sigel also noted that a central bank has already announced plans to include Bitcoin in its foreign exchange reserves this year, indicating that BTC is gradually evolving into a global asset suitable for large-scale cross-border settlements. He believes this will become a long-term trend. In terms of investment direction, he favors a further increase in Bitcoin's market dominance, as well as Bitcoin mining companies poised to benefit from the trend of AI integration. He believes mining companies are increasingly becoming significant beneficiaries of AI infrastructure, and as AI-related businesses grow, the pressure on miners to sell BTC for financing is also decreasing.

Furthermore, Matthew Sigel believes that if the CLARITY Act is eventually passed, it could revitalize sentiment in the altcoin market. However, currently, most institutional investors remain cautious towards the majority of altcoins due to regulatory and investor protection concerns.