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Account with over $1.6 million in profits buys over $420k on "US will invade Iran this year"

2026-03-31 09:41

Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the account SecondWindCapital (0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3), which has realized profits exceeding $1.6 million on Polymarket, has purchased over $420k on the market "US will invade Iran this year". The purchase volume was 581,912.1 shares at an average price of 72.3¢, currently showing an unrealized profit of $12,568.

The settlement rules are: This market will resolve to "Yes" if active-duty U.S. military personnel physically enter Iran at any time before the specified date (Eastern Time). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Special operations forces personnel qualify, but intelligence personnel do not count. U.S. military personnel must physically enter Iranian land territory to qualify. Entering Iranian waters or airspace does not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or senior U.S. military personnel (and their entourage) entering Iran for diplomatic purposes do not qualify.

Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.