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Account with over 88% win rate adds approximately $55,000 to position predicting US-Iran ceasefire by March 31, total position around $549,000

2026-03-23 17:03

Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "US-Iran will cease fire by March 31," an account with a win rate exceeding 88% (0x848921be10e51b1547d50548a54b38a1778ec184) purchased approximately $55,000 worth of "NO" direction positions.

Currently, this account holds a total position of about $549,000 in this event, with an average entry price around 82¢, a current price of about 82.5¢, corresponding to roughly 666,000 shares.

Recent tensions in the Middle East have continued, with the US and Iran repeatedly engaging in talks and negotiations regarding a ceasefire. Market expectations for achieving a ceasefire in the short term are divided, leading to a continuous increase in trading volume for this event.

Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.