The probability of a US-Iran ceasefire before April 30 predicted on Polymarket has dropped to 36%

Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire before April 30 predicted on Polymarket has dropped to 36%, a 43% decrease this month. This probability peaked above 75% in early March before sharply declining.

Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.