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Before the CPI release, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 99.3%

2026-03-11 12:24

Odaily News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.7%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 99.3%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 10.9%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 89.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 33.1%. (Jin10)