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U.S. CFTC Chairman: Blockchain-Based Prediction Markets Could Become "Truth Machines," Clear Regulatory Rules Forthcoming

2026-03-10 13:47

Odaily News: Michael Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stated that blockchain-based prediction markets can improve price discovery and public information transparency, with the potential to become powerful "truth machines." When participants back their judgments about future events with capital, it creates accountability, transparency, and information value. Highly liquid prediction markets often provide more reliable signals than traditional polls. Using the 2024 U.S. presidential election as an example, he noted that market pricing accurately reflected the election outcome. It is reported that the CFTC is about to introduce clearer rules to guide the listing and trading of event contracts within the regulatory framework and has instructed staff to draft operational guidelines to ensure market compliance with existing derivatives laws. (Cointelegraph)