Planet Midday Briefing

1. Kalshi and Polymarket added over 270,000 new users last month; the latter's monthly retention rate exceeded 50%;

2. The probability of a US economic recession before the end of 2026 surged to 41% on Polymarket;

3. Fed Mouthpiece: WTI crude oil's single-day gain may hit a record high;

4. Former CFTC Chairman: Banks need regulatory clarity more than the crypto industry;

5. US stock futures market capitalization evaporated over $2 trillion;

6. Supreme Court Report: Severely punish crimes such as money laundering and foreign exchange evasion using virtual currency as a medium, and collaborate to prevent illegal cross-border fund transfers;

7. Bloomberg Strategist: Crypto market decline may be the start of a "deflation domino," Iran situation could trigger a US recession;

8. Whale with profits exceeding $94.8 million deposits 1 million USDC to open a CL long position;

9. Trader pension leveraged long 1,000 BTC, currently with an unrealized profit of $9.7 million.