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Polymarket Probability of "Iran's Next Supreme Leader Being Khamenei's Son" Drops to 50%

2026-03-06 00:10

Odaily News According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of the event "Iran's next Supreme Leader being Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Khamenei" once surged to 82% and has now fallen back to 50%, with trading volume exceeding $5 million.

Previously, Trump stated that he does not accept Khamenei's son succeeding as Supreme Leader and needs to personally participate in Iran's succession arrangements.