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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%

2026-03-02 23:10

Odaily News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 2.5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.5%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 16.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 83.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.4%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 40.3%.