Polymarket Market Expectation: Probability of Fed Maintaining Rates Unchanged in March Reaches 94%

Odaily News According to the prediction market platform Polymarket, as of March 18, the probability of the Federal Reserve "maintaining interest rates unchanged" at its March meeting is 94%, a significant increase from previous levels. The probability of a "25 basis point rate cut" is about 5%, while "a rate cut of 50 basis points or more" is less than 1%, and "a rate hike of 25 basis points or more" is also around 1%. The cumulative trading volume for this contract is approximately $144 million. Market pricing reflects that traders generally expect policy to remain stable in the short term.