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Polymarket Predicts Probability of US Government Shutdown This Saturday Drops to 2%

2026-02-14 15:57

Odaily News According to the prediction market platform Polymarket, as of February 14th, the probability for the "US government shutdown this Saturday" contract has dropped to 2%, showing a significant decline from previous highs. The cumulative trading volume for this contract is approximately $10.78 million. The market had previously priced in a higher risk of a shutdown, but expectations were quickly revised as negotiations progressed.