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Probability of Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March before CPI release is 90.3%

2026-02-13 13:22

Odaily News: Before the CPI release, according to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 9.7%, while the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 90.3%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 28.1%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 69.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 2.2%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by June is 49.4%.