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The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 94.1%

2026-02-11 22:21

Odaily News According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 5.9%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 94.1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 20.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 78.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 48.1%.