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Probability of Fed maintaining rates unchanged in March before NFP release is 78.3%

2026-02-11 13:23

Odaily News According to CME FedWatch Tool: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 21.7%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 78.3%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 35.7%, the probability of maintaining the current rate is 58.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 5.4%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 49%.