Polymarket currently shows a 44% probability for the event "US and Iran reach a nuclear agreement before 2027"
2026-02-10 00:27
Odaily News According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability for the event "US and Iran reach a nuclear agreement before 2027" is currently reported at 44%. The probability for this event had previously risen to 57% and has now slightly declined.
The Iran nuclear deal refers to an agreement reached between Iran and countries including the United States, the United Kingdom, and France with UN support. Under this deal, Iran restricts the development of its nuclear program in exchange for the gradual lifting of economic and financial sanctions by the parties involved. On May 8, 2018, then US President Donald Trump announced the United States' withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal at the White House.

