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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 90.1%

2026-02-04 22:57

Odaily News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 9.9%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 90.1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 23.2%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 75.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.6%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 46.0%.