CME Data: Probability of Fed Cutting Rates by 25 Basis Points by June at 48.3%
2026-01-30 12:37
Odaily News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 15.3%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 84.7%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 29.7%, with a 67.2% chance of unchanged rates and a 3.2% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 48.3%, the probability of unchanged rates is 33.7%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 16.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 1.6%. (Jin10)
