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After Fed Rate Decision: Probability of 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Cut in March at 11.9%

2026-01-28 21:16

Odaily According to CME FedWatch Tool: The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 11.9% (15.5% before the meeting), the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 88.1% (84.2% before the meeting), and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.1% (0.4% before the meeting). The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by the Fed by April is 24.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 73.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 2%.