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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in January is 95%

2026-01-19 22:58

Odaily News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 95%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.7%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 78.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.9%.