Polymarket Predicts Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in January Rises to 92%

Odaily News Polymarket data shows that in predictions surrounding the Federal Reserve's January 2026 interest rate meeting, market expectations for "keeping rates unchanged" are overwhelmingly dominant, with the current probability at approximately 92%. In contrast, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is about 8%, the probability of a 50 basis point or larger cut is about 1%, and expectations for a rate hike are less than 1%. The cumulative trading volume for this contract has approached $180 million.