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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in January is 85.1%

2026-01-01 23:36

Odaily News According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 14.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 85.1%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 51.2%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 42.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5.9%.