Market forecasts indicate that Kevin Warsh's probability of being elected Federal Reserve has surpassed that of Kevin Hassett.

According to data from the prediction market Kalshi, Kevin Warsh's probability of being elected Federal Reserve has surpassed that of Kevin Hassett, with Warsh currently holding a 49% chance and Hassett a 48% chance. Another candidate, Christopher Waller, has a 4% approval rating. Previously, Hassett's Fed candidacy faced obstacles due to his relationship with Trump, raising concerns about the Fed's independence. Against this backdrop of concerns, Warsh's support has risen, and the market has reacted quickly.