It is "very likely" that Trump will hand out $2,000 checks; analysts warn it's best to take it seriously.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that, aside from his staunchest allies, almost no one publicly supports Trump's idea of "distributing $2,000 checks" to deliver the so-called "tariff dividend." However, Terry Haines, founder of Pangaea Policy, even stated in a report to clients this week that tax refund checks are "highly likely." He pointed out that this idea could be included in the upcoming "budget reconciliation bill" in Congress, which could pass solely with Republican votes. He wrote, "Trump keeps talking about this with increasing certainty, and Trump and congressional Republicans have the legislative means to accomplish it, so the market should treat this as a fact today." (Jinshi)