Polymarket predicts a 59% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $90,000 this year, a decrease in previous fears.

According to the latest data from Polymarket, as of November 16th, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $90,000 in 2025 is 59%, a decrease of 11% from the 70% predicted probability on November 14th; the probability of falling below $80,000 is 23%. In contrast, the probability of BTC breaking through $120,000 this year is 21%. The current total trading volume in the prediction pool has exceeded $56 million.