According to data from Polymarket regarding the end date of the US government shutdown, the strongest market prediction for the end date is November 8-11, with the probability of this option surging from a low to 66% in the past 24 hours.

The probability of the outbreak ending between November 12th and 15th has dropped sharply from a high level to 21%.

The lowest probability of a pessimistic forecast ending on or after November 16 is 7.2%.