According to Odaily Planet Daily, as of now, Polymarket predicts a 73% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December, and a 25% probability of keeping rates unchanged. However, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December is 66.9%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 33.1%.

The CME FedWatch tool's predictions for the Fed's next interest rate adjustment are made by professional interest rate traders, while Polymarket's predictions are the result of a group game among different traders through real betting.