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On Polymarket, the probability of a US government shutdown lasting until November 16 or later is currently reported as 57%.
2025-11-08 08:49

According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily Planet Daily, the probability of the US government shutdown ending after November 16th is now 57%. Previously, the probability of it ending between November 12th and 15th was 34%, and the probability of it ending between November 8th and 11th was 8%.

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