According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily Planet Daily, the probability of the US government shutdown ending after November 16th has risen to 44%, indicating that the market expects the government to be difficult to resume operations in the short term. Data shows that the probability of ending between November 4th and 7th is 3%, between November 8th and 11th is 22%, and between November 12th and 15th is 30%. As of now, the US federal government shutdown has lasted 37 days, breaking the previous record. The shutdown from the end of 2018 to the beginning of 2019 lasted 35 days. Analysts point out that the two parties remain deadlocked on the appropriations bill, with the Senate failing to pass the Republican-proposed temporary budget in 13 previous votes.