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The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December was 70.1% before the ADP report was released.
2025-11-05 13:11

According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 70.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 29.9%. The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by January next year is 55.8%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 19.3%, and the probability of cumulative rate cuts of 50 basis points is 24.8%.