The oral arguments for Trump's tariff case are about to begin, with the probability of him losing currently reported at 61%.
2025-11-05 10:48
According to Odaily Planet Daily, Polymarket currently reports a 61% probability that Trump will lose the Supreme Court tariff case, with bettors expecting the Supreme Court to likely reject Trump's argument that "comprehensive global tariffs can be implemented without congressional approval." The oral arguments regarding the scope of the president's emergency economic powers are scheduled to begin in a few hours. (Oral arguments at the U.S. Supreme Court typically begin at 10:00 AM ET, which is 11:00 PM Beijing time today.)
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