The US Supreme Court is about to hear Trump's tariff case. Polymarket predicts that Trump has a 59% chance of losing the case.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, the US Supreme Court is about to hold a crucial hearing on the legality of President Donald Trump's widespread use of tariffs under the pretext of a national emergency. Prediction market betting suggests a greater than 50% chance of the judge ruling against Trump. Two independent betting sites—one predicting whether Trump will lose the case, the other predicting whether he will win—both give a roughly 60% chance of defeat. The odds on PredictIt rose to 66% on Tuesday, after fluctuating between 48% and 69% over the previous month. Polymarket's odds have remained largely stable since late September, with the latest data showing a 59% chance of Trump losing.