Arthur Hayes reviews the market predictions of the past year: 2 correct, 6 wrong

Odaily News Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, published an article today reviewing his 8 market predictions based on the macro market since November 2023, with the final results of "2 correct" and "6 wrong". Arthur added that although his accuracy rate is only 25%, he is still making money. Arthur said that he wrote these macro analysis articles to try to predict what policy response the government will make to market conditions-once all parties agree that the situation is already quite bad, they will press the "print money" button. As long as his investment portfolio can rise through the continuous issuance of fiat currency, it doesn't matter if every event is predicted wrong, because the government will eventually make the expected policy response.