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SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240116):ETH IV向BTC回归

SignalPlus
特邀专栏作者
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BTC仍在42000至43000区间小幅震荡,日内微涨0.22%,ETH则是在2500上方整盘,收涨0.72%。期权方面,由于实际波动率继续在低点徘徊,BTC IV曲线前端得到下调,Weekly ATM下降约4%至54.98%。
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BTC仍在42000至43000区间小幅震荡,日内微涨0.22%,ETH则是在2500上方整盘,收涨0.72%。期权方面,由于实际波动率继续在低点徘徊,BTC IV曲线前端得到下调,Weekly ATM下降约4%至54.98%。

Yesterday (15 JAN), due to the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday, the U.S. stock market and U.S. debt markets were closed for one day, and the overall market was relatively calm.

In terms of digital currency, BTC is still fluctuating slightly in the range of 42,000 to 43,000, rising slightly by 0.22% during the day, while ETH is trading above 2,500, closing up 0.72%. In terms of options, as the actual volatility continues to hover at a low point, the front end of the BTC IV curve has been lowered, and Weekly ATM has dropped by about 4% to 54.98%; the changes in ETH have been more significant, with the front and back ends lowered by about 8%/3% respectively. After the ETF was approved, ETHs high Vol Premium relative to BTC also converged sharply today, and the IV before 2 FEB 24 has almost remained the same.

In terms of trading, options trading volume has not improved this week. As of todays delivery, the BTC/ETH market has a trading volume of only 1.46/0.48 B US dollars respectively. Top Trade is Long Call Spread for ETH 27 SEP 24 3000 vs 4000, 5000 ETH per leg.

Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar

Source: Binance & TradingView

Source: Deribit (as of 15 JAN 16:00 UTC+ 8)

Source: SignalPlus, ETH IV drops sharply

Source: SignalPlus, market transactions this week were slightly flat

Source: Deribit Block Trade

Source: Deribit Block Trade

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