Original author: Jerry, founder of ThePrimediaDAO

Original author: Jerry, founder of ThePrimediaDAO

The writing of this article is based on the invitation of friends from the media, taking the Bitcoin Pizza Festival as an opportunity.

The original topic was to discuss the relationship between the Bitcoin cycle and this round of bulls and bears, which is also very necessary. Because this may be the last cycle of bull-bear iterations determined by the Bitcoin cycle, and since then it will enter a bull-bear cycle based on infrastructure progress and the fundamentals of Web3 ecological prosperity.

However, if we use Bitcoin as an opportunity to discuss issues, I find that there are deeper issues worth discussing-what is the original intention of Satoshi Nakamoto, what is the background of the birth of Bitcoin, and the efforts of the encryption world since Bitcoin. What is the corresponding old order that has brought new vitality to our world civilization, and whether its necessity and urgency are sufficient to support the derivation of this force...

If you think of Bitcoin as Satoshi Nakamoto’s confrontation with the hegemonic dollar order, this time period is ten to several decades. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the world has entered the modern civilization dominated by the United States based on the hegemony of the dollar; Still unintentionally, Satoshi Nakamoto's anti-dollar hegemony and anti-modern civilization are essentially the most mainstream commercial technological civilization in the world today. This time period is in the past hundred years, starting with computers and information technology, and it is still going on; the bourgeois revolution Since then, it has been an inevitable journey from industrial civilization to commercial technological civilization. The starting point is the civilization of ancient Greece and Rome around the Mediterranean Sea—this is a civilization narrative with a cycle of thousands of years; commercial technological civilization is about to reach its peak due to the arrival of AI. The community with a shared future for mankind will also face a test of destruction and survival...

This brings us into the process of digital evolution of human society. Regarding the opportunities and threats that AI brings to human beings, we have discussed it in "Why Talking about "AI Threat Theory" Is Unfounded Worry", so I won't explain it here.

History cannot be chosen, so it seems meaningless to discuss whether this civilization system in the past thousand years is the best. However, in the context that we are about to face the test of destruction and survival levels, it is still necessary for us to extend the timeline of the history of human civilization again. In the earlier civilizations of ancient Greece and Rome, the history of the four major civilizations of ancient India, ancient Babylon, ancient Egypt, and ancient China can extend the history of human civilization to tens of thousands of years, and the more distant evolution of Homo sapiens is prehistoric for tens of thousands of years civilization……

In the civilization system that can be traced back for thousands of years, the four ancient civilizations have been replaced by lower-level civilizations—as for why the civilization system of ancient Greece and Rome became the mainstream, and why did the four ancient civilizations fall? , which requires more professional scholars to conduct systematic research. However, judging from the slightly traceable ancient Chinese civilization, the hieroglyphic civilization system’s cognition of heaven, earth, and people is much higher than that of ancient Greece, ancient Rome, philosophy and science.

Now, in the process of digitalization of human society, we are bound to face the choice of the evolution of human civilization again. We have the opportunity to make a choice—returning to today’s theme, if the huge increase in productivity brought about by the huge computing power driven by AI will inevitably bring about a reshuffle of the existing economic and social order, as well as the global international pattern , Shaping opportunities.

In the past history, any change will have a contest between old and new forces. In "Tencent's Ambition: How Can a Game Company Save the World?" we were worried about this. But in the direction of the new form of civilization brought by the encryption world starting from Satoshi Nakamoto's encryption, hashing, and decentralized Bitcoin, all of this can be eliminated. Regarding this topic, please refer to "On the Value Logic of "Bear Market Bottom" Based on "Civilization Ends".

One of the important details is the contradiction between the productivity improvement brought about by the exponential growth of AI and the corresponding digital order governance ability of human beings - if human beings do not have a more advanced form of digital civilization to govern AI computing power, in In the next 20 years, AI will gradually reach or even surpass the comprehensive capabilities of human beings in the digital society. ThePrimediaDAO's previous discussion on this topic is based on the exploration of the encrypted world. Human beings are evolving sophisticated digital social governance capabilities.

The reason why we trace back to the evolution of civilization over ten thousand years is because this time digital civilization can be measured in the advancement of human evolution history. Our leap towards metaverse/digital society through blockchain/web3 approach to encryption economy is more advanced than the advancement of human society such as industrial revolution, great voyage, and information technology revolution.

In the process of shaping the ecology of digital civilization, the existing commercial technology civilization centered on the hegemonic dollar will inevitably be iterated. In such a grand context, the economic structure and stagnant growth that economists worry about today, and the involution and spiritual barrenness of the new generation that sociologists worry about are not important issues. Bitcoin, which originated in the geek world, until 2017 due to the ICO of Ethereum, which exploded in speculation and hype. This matter itself is negative, but it has exceptionally positive energy in this grand context-this is a human being. In the process of the evolution of civilization, it is also the most fundamental driving force.

All this seems to have just begun, but the pace of change is surprisingly fast - the development of AI+web3 in the next 20 years will bring mankind a new ecology of world civilization. However, if it is not done well, it is really possible to end the game, which is why Musk and the others jointly signed a letter to control the development of AI. Earlier, Hawking was worried about the future of human beings because of AI.

Going back to the introduction at the beginning, I originally wanted to discuss the relationship between Bitcoin and bulls and bears, but after getting a little drunk, I decided on this discussion of survival and destruction. Bitcoin's digital gold status is unshakable, but its volume in the entire encrypted economic market will gradually decrease in the incremental market of Web3 native assets and off-chain assets NFT, especially in this round of bull-bear cycles. Hong Kong web3 expectations. This is why the Kezhouqiujian faction has not waited for the golden pit to appear.