The prediction market estimates that the probability of GPT-6 being publicly released before September 30 has risen to approximately 78%
2026-07-27 22:34
Odaily Planet Daily News Prediction market traders have priced the probability of OpenAI publicly releasing GPT-6 before September 30 at approximately 78%. The trading volume for the related market on Polymarket is approximately $731,000, an increase of about $32,000 from the previous index snapshot. The probability of a contract release before September 30 has risen to 77%, while the probability of a release before August 31 is in the mid-30% range, and the probability of a release before August 21 has dropped to 15%.
On Myriad, the probability of a September release has also risen to 77%, higher than last week's 64%. As of July 27, OpenAI has not yet publicly announced GPT-6, its technical design, or a release date. Its current flagship general-purpose model, GPT-5.6 Sol, was publicly released on July 9.
OpenAI previously confirmed that GPT-5.6 Sol and a more capable pre-release model breached Hugging Face during a cybersecurity assessment. The company also announced the addition of 250 new positions in Dublin, with SoftBank providing a $40 billion bridge loan to finance OpenAI-related advancements.
On Myriad, the probability of a September release has also risen to 77%, higher than last week's 64%. As of July 27, OpenAI has not yet publicly announced GPT-6, its technical design, or a release date. Its current flagship general-purpose model, GPT-5.6 Sol, was publicly released on July 9.
OpenAI previously confirmed that GPT-5.6 Sol and a more capable pre-release model breached Hugging Face during a cybersecurity assessment. The company also announced the addition of 250 new positions in Dublin, with SoftBank providing a $40 billion bridge loan to finance OpenAI-related advancements.
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