An address with a 78% win rate purchased $139,000 worth of "No Rate Change" shares for the Fed's July meeting.

According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket event "Will the Fed keep rates unchanged at the July 2026 meeting?", an address with a 78% win rate (0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd1409) purchased $139,000 worth of "Yes" shares, with an average entry price of 75.5¢, buying 175,165.2 shares.

The Federal Reserve will announce its July interest rate decision early on July 30th, Beijing time. According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the market currently prices a 66.3% probability of the Fed holding rates steady at this meeting, and a 33.7% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike. As of now, the probability of rates remaining unchanged in this prediction market is provisionally reported at 80%, down 13% within the week.

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