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UBS: Warsh’s First FOMC Meeting Hawkish; Market Rate Hike Expectations May Be Overly Aggressive

2026-07-01 09:45

Odaily reported that UBS stated in its latest report that the first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting chaired by Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered a clear hawkish signal, but market expectations for rate hikes this year may be overly aggressive. UBS expects the Fed to keep the federal funds rate steady at 3.50% to 3.75% for the remainder of the year and advises investors to increase allocations to short- to medium-duration high-quality bonds to lock in current elevated yields.